Had a chance to go out and try @audiobomber's recommended settings for AF.
I was in a different location closer to home with a desert landscape so the birds I saw were slow moving vultures vs the spastic terns from the first test.
First three shots are Bigma on K-3.
Using the expanded points and hold improved the results because the camera stayed with the bird when it passed in front of objects quickly such as this tree
However if the bird flew in front of large contrasty objects like the mountains, the camera would eventually switch to the background. In this case perhaps the smaller expanded area would have been more appropriate.
I didn't see the vultures long enough to to switch lenses and cameras and do comparisons, but the K5IIs with expanded AF did a nice job of staying with bird with the DA*300 and 1.4 attached.
If I can get back out to the shore with more birds in the air I will do more extensive testing and update the thread.