| Forget the Kid, Ignore the Meta, Let's Talk About the Possible Future of Pentax
Now, with all that out of the system, let's forget about the original header of this thread and speculate on the concept of a new full frame Pentax, while totally ignoring all rumours from anywhere. For starters, I have not read that ricehigh or whoever kid's blog post, nor do I have any interest in doing so in the future. Didn't even know a one existed, until now.
With that said, however, I find the concept of a totally new full frame Pentax without the K mount quite interesting, and something to look forward to, rather than to denounce before it even exists.
Therefore I don't quite agree with all the negative and seemingly narrow thinking visible in these threads. If you widen your perspective to see the whole industry, you might notice that other brands, much larger than Pentax, have done it all the time, and got away with it.
In fact, it's a trend that is likely to grow stronger, so why should Pentax stay with the K mount alone forever? Actually, even Pentax already have another one, namely the Q mount. Perhaps this is partly about the Penaxians expecting to always get just a faster horse, rather than something new.
So forget about the K mount and the proverbial K-3 for a while, and look back a couple of decades, and then all the way to this day. What has happened since circa 1983:
1. Minolta designed a new autofocus system and finally in 1985 released a brand new series of SLR cameras with a brand new lens mount that was not backwards compatible with the previous MD mount in any way. They didn't even provide a MD to AF adapter. They got away with it.
Soon Nikon and Pentax adapted the Minolta AF patent but didn't design a new lens mount at this time. They thought the electronic contacts would be enough for the foreseeable future. It has sort of worked, so far.
2. Canon followed suit a few years later, and introduced their own EOS system with a brand new EF mount and lenses. Again, looks like Canon got away with it, too.
Heck, even Leica has done it way back in the 50's, when they came up with the M mount, with the old 39mm screw mount coexisting along with it for a while. Not to mention Pentax, who came up with the K mount, replacing the m42 mount. Yikes.
Fast forward to the 2000's and digital becoming mainstream.
3. Olympus abandoned the old OM mount and came up with a new one, FT, and later on mirrorless µFT.
4. Canikon came up with both APS and FF digital bodies, so did Sony, and in practical terms, each of those brands do have two separate lens lines within their current dSLR lens lines, the ones made for APS sensors, and the ones made for full frame. They may share the same lens mount but in practical terms they could as well be separate lens lines. But that's beside the point.
Then, fast forward to circa 2009 until to date, and the arrival of the mirrorless cameras.
5. Olympus did it again,
6. so did Sony, and
7. even Canikon and Pentax did it, sort of.
But this time, they did it with a new twist. They didn't replace the old mount with a new one, á la Minolta and Canon back in the late 80's, but came up with an all new genre of cameras. So, what has happened during the past few years? Has the old Minolta AF mount faced an 'armageddon' since an all new E mount arrived? Or, has the opposite happened, with Sony selling new cameras with both lens systems, to an even wider audience? Sure looks like it, doesn't it. Canikon are still ruling the market today, but again that's beside the point.
The mirrorless system cameras are coming, and they will eventually replace, at least for the most part, the traditional (d)SLR systems, like it or not. As soon as the Japanese and Korean mainstream manufacturers get past their local p&s upgrader syndrome, and the stalling tactics used by the mighty Canikon, and start designing proper mirrorless cameras for the rest of us. There are some signs that it might happen soon.
I think the K-01 sort of proved that the mirrorless system with the old SLR lens mount doesn't quite make sense, even though it sort of works. Canikon, on the other hand, have only made an half-assed attempt on the market so far, apparently because they don't wish to risk their existing status quo on the DSLR market, and therefore have only aimed at the so called soccer mom and p&s hipster market.
Only Sony have gone much further so far, by not only redesigning their entire DSLR line, but also by making the E mount line a future-proof system in both stills and video shooting. They've even managed to put a full frame sensor behind the E mount in their VG-900 camcorder. The entry level NEX bodies are more or less glorified p&s cameras but, the higher end models are evolving into something more useful with each new update round.
Therefore it would make perfect sense for Pentax to come up with an all new lens system, á la Sony NEX, and thus make sure they're in the game in the future, too. The old K mount is slowly approaching the natural end of its life cycle, and will reach the end of the arch, eventually. There was a reason why Minolta dumped the old MD mount early, and replaced it with a new one, and why Sony came up with a new mirrorless mount a few years ago. Even Leica dumped their regular (d)SLR mount around the time digital started becoming mainstream, and concentrated on their rangefinder (mirrorless) and medium format offerings.
In fact, I think right now Pentax/Ricoh have an interesting window of opportunity to be the pioneer and lead the way (again), by making an all new mirrorless system based on a full frame sensor, and doing it in Pentax/Ricoh style, without the point&shooty gimmicrky the NEX models are plagued with, so far. It would also make perfect sense to do it with the medium format camera, eventually, but not too soon.
However, it would not make much sense (if it was technically feasible to begin with) to do all that with the old K(AF2) mount. To come up with a new, natively digital and mirrorless system, they simply need an all new design with a shorter back focus distance, and thus a new lens mount. If it's full frame, it might probably be slightly larger than the K mount, but not necessarily.
The new Pentax (FF) mirrorless camera, along with an all new batch of lenses and a K adapter could peacefully coexist with the K mount DSLR's and lenses, until the old system would slowly fade away naturally, within a decade or two. That could be a chance for Pentax to stick it to the mighty Canikon, and make them look obsolete. It would also win over an all new batch of Pentax fans, which would eventually more than replace the few old curmudgeons who refuse to let go of their native K mount DSLR system. Again, which wouldn't go away, anyway, but coexist with the new mirrorless system, as long as it's feasible.
I believe that even Nikon will have to come up with a new lens mount to replace the existing old AI mount, eventually, so right now Pentax might indeed have a unique window of opportunity to be the trend setter once again, and gain some new market share, for a while.
However, that window of opportunity won't be open for too long, because others will do it, too. Sony already have a FF E-mount video camera, and a stills version may be under testing as we speak. No doubt Canikon will come up with their own versions, too, eventually. Olympus have already gone fully mirrorless within the mFT genre, and their E system has become a small niche, to slowly but inevitably fade away in the background. A bit shame for the great glasses and the E-5, though, but perhaps they'll come up with a new OMD body that can use those properly in the near future. Change the brand and the sensor size, and you'll probably see what might happen within a few years with Pentax, too, albeit in less radical fashion.
Sorry about a lengthy lecture/rant, but I think the topic is sort of interesting, as long as we just ignore the meaningless meta talks revolving around some rumours and attention-seeking kids, and concentrate on the possible future concepts.
Last edited by EchoOscar; 03-28-2013 at 08:10 AM.
|