After this Photokina I think the downward spiral of the already chaotic ILC dinosaur camera industry has gained a lot of momentum everywhere:
- Pentax is doomed since the 1970s. No changes.
- Sony A mount is doomed due to Sony FE mount getting all the love
- Nikon F mount is doomed due to Nikon Z mount now getting all the love and F mount is dead as A mount
- Canon EF mount is doomed due to Canon R mount now getting all the love and EF mount is dead as A mount
- Sigma SA mount is doomed due to Sigma L mount now getting all the love
- Sony FE mount is doomed since Sonys DSLM position suddenly went from monopoly to small player in a tiny tank with much bigger fishes, at least four of them. No sustainable strategy on the horizon.
- Nikon Z mount is doomed since with mediocre overpriced cameras and 3 clearly below average lenses nobody other than diehard fans will invest
- L mount is doomed because no significant players are supporting it. Where is the difference to Sigma SA mount?
- Canon R mount is doomed since Sony spec sheets look much nicer
- mFT is doomed since tiny sensors like mFT are eaten alive by smartphones. And Pansonic already jumped ship to FF.
- Olympus is doomed too. No major product announcement at Photokina, whaat? Double-doomed. A rejection of FF. An aging flagship body.
- Hasselblad. Well. Were they ever alive?
- Fuji X-mount is doomed since in spite of all their marketing they have not gained any significant traction and are even still behind tiny Sony. No FF even on the horizon. They are basically where Pentax was 5 years ago.
Cackle. Cackle.
All the while the total market is still shrinking with most players targeting the handful rich grandpas who do not mind shelling out two or three grand for photography toys with not even a single lens included.
All the while the real advancements in camera technology happen in non dinosaur ILC world regardless of with or without optical viewfinder: In smartphones, automotive and gadgets.
The dying mirrorless and DLSR industry has completely failed to innovate to attract new users. All they come up with is incremental changes and products which only cannibalize others.
I guess within 2-3 years we'll see a whole bunch of casualties from this situation. Probably not Canon because they will likely continue to extend their total domination.
Cackle.
In the meantime we all can ignore all this, buy nothing new at all, and go outside enjoying our existing toys and taking lovely shots for many years to come.
Last edited by beholder3; 10-02-2018 at 10:31 AM.
Reason: olympus