Originally posted by beholder3 It really seems the makers have not yet seen rock bottom.
The really sharp drop in DSLM sales with a continued erosion of DSLM prices probably will not make them happy.
But then: January data usually is even worse than December. So more bad news for the sellers to come. On the good (buyer) side this makes further price drops for last years toys even more probable.
What data are you plotting there exactly? Because the CIPA data for December 2019 does not match your graphs.
December 2019 data:
http://www.cipa.jp/stats/documents/e/d-201912_e.pdf
Fixed lens shipments: 411,274
ILC shipments: 640,714
SLR shipments: 302,449
MILC shipments: 338,265
So MILC shipments > SLR shipments for December 2019, not the other way around as your graph shows. Did you copy paste data from the wrong column?
---------- Post added 02-13-20 at 12:13 PM ----------
Originally posted by normhead I see whaat you're saying, MILC sales have held steady, DSLR sales are falling, but that's only relevant because until 2019 DSLR sales were in the lead. MILC sales have never approached what DSLR sales were in Sept. 2019. But it looks to me like DSLR sales are still ahead of MILC for 2019 even if they had more sales for the last few months.
On the other hand, you can see MILC lens sales are turning into a real cash cow for MILC producers. No doubt because they are not completely compatible with older DSLR lenses. DSLR lenses are relatively steady by comparison. Anytime a company can convince you to stop using their old stuff and by all new stuff, that's an angle worth pursuing.
For most of the year DSLR sales were well ahead of MILC as well as for total volume of sales for the year. Let's see what next year brings. MILC have been ahead since October.. let's see if they can hold on for a complete year.
Yes, DSLR shipments are still greater than MILC shipments: 4,504,987 units vs. 3,956,503. This is mainly because of the Americas and also because in Europe DSLRs maintain a smaller lead. But in Asia the MILC units have already exceeded DSLR ones. Anyway, the value of MILC shipments exceeds that of DSLR shipments: 282,369,840 thousands Yen vs 174,635,831. And the market value is the more important part, because that's what drives the profits of the makers (everyone also agreed that MILCs are cheaper to manufacture than DSLRs, hence they are clearly more profitable now).
I have never looked at CIPA lens data before. But where do you see the breakdown between MILC and DSLR? They only do a sensor format breakdown: FF and higher vs cropped formats.