Originally posted by mikemike there are lots of extremely successful businesses here that steadfastly refuse to grow because they are very happy with where they are. Many restaurants are extremely popular and have been for decades and continue with their original site and style instead of opening new locations, expanding, extending their hours (one of my favorites, Bon Ton Cafe doesn't even open on the weekends), or increasing their prices; if they were in any other place, they would be opening new locations in every zip code.
This got me to thinking...
One could boil down business to the discovery of a process or product that attracts customers and provides a good return, and the subsequent replication of the same as often as possible (if maximizing return is the primary goal).
So what is this in the financial industry? I'll take the leveraged buyout firms aka vulture capitalists as an example, but a similar analysis would work for the CDO/mortgage market, and just about anything else in the industry.
The product is the 'unlocking of shareholder value' via a leveraged buy-out and subsequent restructuring of a company. Who are the customers?
a. the equity investors in the firm, both insiders and outsiders... i.e. the proprietors are also customers
b. the banks arranging the financing (for the banks, the firm is a customer)
c. the fixed income investor market
The demand, as long as c. is strong, is from a. and b. - one deal has to follow another in order to keep the income / capital gains pipeline full and at the levels required by the companies involved. In other words, a cycle starts with easy money (and arguably these may provide real economic value) and progresses towards less easy / less necessary (from the POV of the company being restructured) deals as supply starts to dry up.
There is nothing in this mechanism intrinsically to self limit until a series of failures provokes the market... this is otherwise known as a market melt down, a break, a crisis, and of course comes in various sizes from a small firm failure to a market-wide, global crisis.
So what else limits this replicating tendency of business? The attitude of the principals is one. The attitude of the society and public is another. This second is variously expressed, but in essence comes down to regulations and their enforcement. A third would be if another mechanism or product is introduced that now begins to extinguish the first.