Originally posted by eddie1960 Pretty outspoken first post (which just reeks of troll but what the hell)
Speaking as a Canadian i think we should stop shipping crude and ship only finished product. if you want it great, if you don't well then we'll sell it elsewhere or use it ourselves. in the meantime we will provide our populace with the higher paying jobs and higher return refinery business. The current situation here where we export crude and import finished product is to me unacceptable.
Eddie, I don't think you understand the economics of the oil industry. A major point of vertical integration in the oil industry is to better balance out the peaks and valleys of the commodities markets because when oil prices are high (like they are now), profits on refining are low the opposite is generally true too because as the price of oil falls, the refineries effectively keep the lights on because they are able to get a greater profit from refining as the price is lower and consumers are less sensitive to it.
Does having a huge export-oriented refinery in Alberta make a lot of sense? Maybe not, it would probably let them continue production and barely squeak by if the price of oil fell 50%, but if oil stayed expensive like this it doesn't do a whole lot and they are probably looking at a 15-20 years to come out ahead. A bet on producing tar sands oil is a bet that oil prices will stay high to very high so building refinery infrastructure there just seems like a sucker move to me.
The gulf coast is a great place for refineries because we have production here to take advantage of the refinery infrastructure and we also have ports to bring oil in when the price of oil gets desperately low that it forces shut-ins of domestic facilities, a situation that was happening only about 15 years ago and could easily be the case 15 years from now. Alberta's resources are only going to be economically viable sporadically and there is no port to keep the refineries running if the sands stop producing.