Originally posted by RobA_Oz Thanks for that - I was looking at some very similar data from a different source. And you are right wrt acting sensibly - the two concerns I see for the immediate future is (1) people refusing the vaccine, and (2) people causing a third wave on account of false sense of security because a vaccine is
available. If recollection serves, the Biontech/Pfizer vaccine has to be taken in two doses a few weeks apart to reach maximum efficacy. The Moderna one may be similar, I've just heard less about it.
So even assuming enough vaccine is available and people actually do take the shot, it will be many weeks, probably months, before we might see anything resembling herd immunity and a subsiding of infection numbers.
Some countries will choose to vaccinate their elders first, which is socially acceptable but means a further delay to herd immunity as that's not really a "spreader" group. So people wearing their, as one Sofia Coppola movie would have put it, "broody masks", is going to continue to be crucial until early summer, in all likelihood.
Rant end.