Originally posted by gaweidert After a statistical study done in Australia they found that the difference between reported cases and actual cases may be off by a factor of 6.2 of more. If this is true then some 220,000,000 people in the US have already come in contact with the disease. That gives us a survival rate of 99.28? One county in the US did a review of all deaths where COVID was listed as the cause and reduced the number by COVID deaths 23%.
In China the disease seems to have totally gone away. According to the official party line, there have been some 90,000 cases with about 4,000 deaths. With all the numbers games being played, the lies about the origins of the disease and every political persuasion trying to make gain from the pandemic we will never know the truth. All numbers games politics and that is why people are asking questions.
Questions:
On a scale of 1-10 how serious is the disease?
Where did it originate?
Why did it stop in China while India is reeling under the onslaught?
If it is a gain of function virus, who made it?
Why does it mutate so fast?
What else are we not being told about the disease?
For the record I am vaccinated. But I am an old fart, a bit overweight and occasionally have PVC events. I do not favor vaccination of children.
I might have agreed with you for the alpha variant, but with regard to the delta, we are seeing a lot more serious infections in younger people. In our local hospital there are 55 people admitted now with a COVID diagnosis. Nearly all of them are in their 30s or 40s and are unvaccinated. Last year we didn't see people that young getting admitted to the hospital.
Is COVID delta variant making children sicker? Experts don't know yet. We aren't sure if kids are getting sicker or if they are simply catching delta more than last year's strain, but children's hospitals are fuller. Death rates from the alpha strain were very low in young people, but anecdotally seem to be creeping up a bit now.
As far as your questions, I have come to the conclusion that we probably won't know what happened in China. My guess is some type of lab slip up, but the Chinese government is never going to admit that. As to whether COVID is natural or engineered, it is impossible to say and once again, China will never admit that they did anything wrong. I don't really think it matters except as a warning for us to be better prepared in the future and have protocols in place that can address pandemics in an apolitical way.
As far as how fast it mutates, I don't think it does terribly fast. Influenza, which is a naturally occurring virus, is a very fast mutating virus. This is why flu shots have notoriously bad coverage. Sometimes the CDC guesses badly on strains and sometimes the flu shifts mid season to give poor coverage. COVID has mutated a fair amount over the last year and a half, but not enough that vaccines are ineffective against it.
How COVID-19 mutates and how it affects vaccines | OSF HealthCare
As far as gaining control of it, China has the benefit of being an authoritarian state where they can shut things down completely with no recourse for its citizens. We know that this works, when it is done aggressively, although it probably worked better on the alpha strain than on delta, which is what was prevalent in India. India has high levels of poverty, very high concentrations of people. Even so, they did shut things down and saw cases plummet when they did so. At their peak in May they were averaging 350,000 new cases a day and are down to 35,000 a day now.
I guess I would say that as doctors and scientists learn things about COVID they release their data. There is much we are still learning about it but I don't think there is some secret cabal that is keeping the COVID cure away from the news. Rather we try some things, test them and while preliminary results are promising testing shows they just don't work out.