Originally posted by stewart_photo Many, then and now, doubt that first moon landing was real, pointing to the fact that NASA could not reliably get a rocket off the ground just a short period earlier (at one point burning up several astronauts in a fire), yet shortly afterwards was able to send a rocket to the moon, make a perfect landing on an object in space no person had ever landed on before, make a perfect launch from that same unfamiliar object, make a perfect rendezvous and coupling with the orbiter, make a perfect flight back to Earth, and make a perfect splashdown in the designated area.
It's easy to be skeptical of great achievement when a period of bad performance is followed with a very successful conclusion.
Here are the missions leading up to Apollo 11. The Saturn missions began in 1961. Missions that were catastrophic failures are marked in red. All others achieved successful results.
Unmanned Saturn-I Missions
SA-1
SA-2
SA-3
SA-4
SA-5
SA-6
SA-7
SA-8
SA-9
SA-10
Pad Abort Tests of Launch Escape Tower
Pad Abort Test 1
Pad Abort Test 2
Little Joe II Tests
A-001
A-002
A-003 High altitude abort test; launcher broke up. Result: Failure
A-004
Unmanned Apollo-Saturn Missions
AS-201
AS-202
AS-203
Apollo 4
Apollo 5
Apollo 6
Manned Missions
Apollo 1 Not a launch but a ground pad test. Command module fire, 3 astronauts die
Apollo 7
Apollo 8
Apollo 9
Apollo 10
Out of 26 launches there was 1 catastrophic loss. Apollo 1 was a terrible incident but wasn't an actual launch. However, 25 successful missions out of 27 is a fairly good record, especially considering the complexity and the enormity of the task.
As I said, it's easy to be skeptical when a period of bad performance is followed with a very successful conclusion; however, it's also easy to believe in success after a series of successes.