Originally posted by yucatanPentax Really? There are dozens of articles out there that are highly skeptical of the WSJ claims, etc. Here's one. Google for the rest.
The skeptical view on the Verizon iPhone - InternetNews:The Blog - Andy Patrizio
Verizon may very well turn on LTE 4G in a number of cities, but that doesn't mean the carrying capacity for their entire user base will be there. That's what's confusing to most people:
"Available in X cities" is not the same thing as "all our users on that technology."
Carrying capacity will remain limited as Verizon is forced to load-balance existing accounts/handsets with new tech handsets. It's tricky carrying off that kind of transition.
The link you provided debunked the WSJ idea of a CDMA iPhone in 2010, not an LTE iPhone in 2011.
As of now, Verizon is on-schedule. They said that they'd launch LTE pilots in two left-coast/right-coast cities in 2009.
They did in Seattle and Boston in August and have seen peak download speeds of 40-50 megabits per second.
Their next target is 25-30 metro areas by the end of the year. And by their own account, they are not promising a complete switchover. As a matter of fact, they are claiming that the initial launch will be data only - wireless cards and whatnot. They are not promising LTE voice this year.
When they are finally ready to support voice over LTE in 2011, then they will have to wait until customers trade in their old CDMA phones for new LTE phones, so in reality they'll have to run dual systems for a number of years. But to their advantage, they won't have to provide LTE capacity for an entire city, just the percentage of customers with LTE handsets.
It's a marketing sleight of hand, but if they've got a shoestring LTE network in 30 metro areas by the end of the year, they will claim to be LTE for the entire metro area and promote that fancy 100 million number when in fact the number of people with LTE handsets in that footprint will be considerably lower. And just like they do now, they'll work to match build-out with need.
Like I said, I'll wait and see if they hit their targets. But can you think of a better way to launch the next generation cell network than with the iPhone? That's a marketing goldmine - there will be a stampede.