Originally posted by johnmflores IMO, no. It's classic market dynamics.
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The other risk that they face is responding too slowly to the shift, so it makes sense for them to feint once in a while and suggest that they are ready to enter the space.
My $.02, non-refundable...
Looks like you studied some classic asian warrior history, you theory sounds decent, problem with those theories it is that you only know if they really apply to the current setting is afterwards...
- Oh, I thought it is nice theory put down in a very nice way
Originally posted by gazonk In some years time, it's obvious that the SLR will become obsolete. There's no point in trying to move a mirror when shooting at 60 fps, and EVFs will have become good enough for those (including me) who think that the real OVF still is superior (I'm curious about the GH2 viewfinder, though). Those who play their cards right now, will be the winners then.
What will the winners do? First, I think it's obvious that a move to a shorter register distance is necessary, simply because you then can make simpler and better wide angles. Those who combine new mounts with legacy glass compatibility in the best way will have a very good position (I don't rule out Falk's KEVIL solution, though, may also work).
Second, I think the market may divide into at least two classes of formats. FF or MF is simply too large to make compact zooms, so travel-friendly and consumer-friendly interchangeable-lens cameras will have to use smaller formats, maybe also smaller than m4/3, while the pros may want to use larger cameras.
For instance: An enthusiast/pro camera could use a 6x4.5 sensor with a short registration distance and an adapter for legacy MF glass. The camera body would not be that much larger than today's K7, and with wide to normal lenses it would be a very compact combination. But it would be a real monster with a zoom: For instance, the equivalent of the 18-135 would be a 50-360! (5 kg weight?)
And due to technology the performance of the cheaper smaller camera type will more and more catch up with the big ones. And only value of old glass is slowing this transition down, because most newbies tend be willing to pay more for a new camera body than for a new lens. And manufactoring companies don't make much money on old glass.
Imagine what "damage" this new Fuji will do to big lens manufactoring companies? (Semi)-Pro will for sure buy one with a significant portion of their yearly cash budget or get cash by selling good glass they use less. Yeah, and more good glass on the second hand market won't be a good thing for lens manufactoring companies.
The wide angle part is most interesting.
- Due to the crop factors old wide glass is not wide any more
- Due to mirrorless new glass can be made better / cheaper
Is it wise to invest in an used UWA?
- m43 UWA are still sold at premium prices