Originally posted by Rondec A lot comes down to two questions: (1) what do Canon and Nikon really want to push? If they really want people to move into full frame, they can make certain that it happens, either by including features not found in lower end cameras or by dropping the price on full frame. (2) Have we reached close to maximum performance from APS-C? I have no idea on the second point, but it does seem like we are reaching the point of diminishing returns.
Let me be clear. APS-C is more than adequate for me and I am satisfied with it, but folks like Falconeye really believe that in the long term full frame is the best and cheapest option for high quality. I guess we'll all find out eventually, won't we?
I find this whole discussion fascinating. It reminds me of when personal computers, thought to be largely toys when they first hit the market, usurped the serious computers of the days - the Main Frames. The big app. that came along was the Lotus spread sheet which suddenly gave the PC credibility. Then it was the purchasing power of millions of consumers that pushed development dollars into the PC arena and pushed most Main Frames to the sidelines. Networks and individuals mattered, not specialists in some company office.
Yeah, Canon and Nikon's decisions will affect the outcome, but not control it. A big part of the eventual decision will be the purchasing power of the "unwashed masses". What do i know, but it seems to me that the cost, size and weight of quality lenses for FF will be a detriment to going completely full frame in the short term, for Nikon, Canon. Also, such a decision to go FF will cannabilize their lower cost cadre of APS cameras and lenses, will it not?
There are costs involved in refining the FF sensors to increase their advantage over the APS sensors. Are there sufficient potential customers to pay for those new FF sensors from 3 manufacturers? Not to mention any lens makeovers. The FF pace of change will have to slow i'm thinking, because several of the world's economies are still struggling.
Hoya has it figured out quite well. They are rushing a mirrorless camera to market, not a FF. I am astounded at how well Pentax is doing this year, 3 bodies and 2 lenses and no duds in the group. And one of those lenses has a new focus motor. And mighty Nikon was forced to come out with a low cost entry level high iso APS camera to compete with small market share Pentax.