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01-28-2011, 06:00 AM   #46
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QuoteOriginally posted by sandilands Quote
Expect to see the CAD/USD to go from 1 (now) to 1.3 or 1.5 within the next year.
If you really believe that, you should invest a couple hundred G's in Canadian dollars. 30 - 50% return in less than a year is the kind of return that hedge fund managers have wet dreams about.

01-28-2011, 07:38 AM   #47
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QuoteOriginally posted by GregK8 Quote
If you really believe that, you should invest a couple hundred G's in Canadian dollars. 30 - 50% return in less than a year is the kind of return that hedge fund managers have wet dreams about.
The problem is not what you believe, but how much risk you can afford. At the moment, monetary markets are under intense speculations from people who are far better informed, and one would expect the exchange rate to play quite a rollercoaster ride. Would you be ready to expose yourself to such a high amount of stress and effort?
01-31-2011, 08:11 AM   #48
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QuoteOriginally posted by ghelary Quote
One have to remember that weak money= strong exportations, high inflation, low consumption, and strong money= weak exportations, low inflation and higher consuption. If the contry economy is more based on the internal market than on exportations, then a strong money can be a better choice in hard times than a weak one.
Which is the one problem with the CAD. If the thinking is that they are a still a manufacturing nation, the economy will decline as the international pricing of their hard goods become non-competitive. However if Canada can reconcile what their economy is really based upon (a huge wealth of natural resources), their economy will continue to prosper. that is what the rest of the world sees in Canada. I'm not sure if that is as obvious to Canadians.

Interesting what you say about the Real. Very similar situation to that of Canada, but without the proximity to the moderating effect of the monster US economy. Perhaps another round of rampant inflation in Brazil?
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