Originally posted by johnmflores You are comparing two companies at two very different phases of camera evolution. Panasonic is investing, iterating like mad, building organizational intelligence. Their primary motive right now is not to maximize profit/investment. On the other hand, Canon is squeezing every nickel they can out of their investments. They have the organizational intelligence. It's like clockwork for them.
You are right that M43 is not low-end, yet. Olympus and Panny are toying a bit with deeps discounts on older models, but they haven't really made an effort. Are low yields really holding them back? Do Canon and Sony really have the secret sauce and is that competitive advantage sustainable? Or will Panny eventually figure out the trick? Or have they actually sized production to their projections and were surprised to see them exceeded?
The only way that M43 can compete against the coming wave of APS-C is on price.
They cannot compare specs. M43 loses.
Realistically, M43 cannot compete on price. That is a non-option.
Saying "my engine is smaller but goes almost as fast, let's pixel peep some photos" will not win you new entrants looking for the biggest bang for the buck. Sensor size will be the same factor for M43 vs. APS-C as the losing battle 43 fought. Call it mirrorless or whatever, that fact and dynamic has not gone away and is the bane of M43.
M43 is on borrowed time, measured in less than half a decade.
If you think Panasonic is in for the long haul, that's your opinion. In my book they look a lot like Contax.
I see mirrorless and DSLR coexisting at multiple sensor sizes for some time. I think some of the sunk costs of the SLR system, and the pellicle advances alongside sensor improvements, give the DSLR a way of staying profitable for a long time with minimal innovation. The Leica S2 is a DSLR. Do you think Leica will now supplant that with a mirrorless? No.
Mirrorless will, for the next few years, be mid-level. It has to amortize development costs and build lens arrays. FF DSLR and the Nikon D3100's will bracket the market and some things like Sony's pellicles will come up the middle. Frankly, I see the prosumer owning BOTH a DSLR AND a mirrorless. Where that leaves Pentax is still undecided. We'll see in the Fall.
In fact, that is probably the #1 reason why Canikon have not yet moved. they are lining those two stars up to avoid market cannibalization. Sony beat them to it. Yet 43 has effectively dumped the SLR entirely. That says something. Two suppliers have had to put all their eggs in one basket and maximize their share as fast and best they can before cars with bigger engines and substantially more and cheaper production, come onto the track.
You are talking to a guy with 2 Olympus film cameras.