Originally posted by bossa @ Uluru:
Remember VCR's? They had 100's if not 1,000's or moving parts which had to be manufactured individually and assembled by hand. They have been replaced by solid state players of several descriptions, some of which have no moving parts at all (iPad). To think that camera companies are going to keep manufacturing shutters, pentaprism VF's and mirror-boxes with PDAF systems into the distant future is naive. The cost of energy is going to get higher until Peak Oil and/or climate change causes a major adjustment to our behaviour and expectations and this will surely drive manufacturers to simplify or go bust.
Which is why every device we today make is a power hungry, battery and electricity draining device, especially when multiplying the sheer number of them produced cheaply. I know very well of times when not a single battery was needed to make a photograph, and now we can't imagine anything that isn't powered by electricity. And we don't even ask twice, "Do we really need it"? We hate even the first question why.
Is that really "a progress"? In one way it isn't, because if we are afraid of asking "Why?"consecutively, we are not human beings anymore, but animals.
However, the cell-powered instantaneousness also is a form of progress too. Say, in this forum we are not talking about art of photography — we are talking about our ability to make an image. Those two are different. The latter is our everyday life.
Never before everyday people had an ability to experience "creativity" in such an easy way — or make an image instantly with a mere press of a finger and all is immediately visible. That is a fascinating phenomenon in a visually communicating culture, not possible without use of electricity and battery power.
But things most of the time end there. I don't want to dwell into future prognosis and trends, but I also find that some things are constant; for every 1% of people who want think more and see beyond surface of things, there is 99% of others who want the sheer superficiality of matters.
1% of all those who dab into painting will be Rembrandts, 1% of those who press shutters will be Avedons. And they will create something memorable only when they turn their back to the rest of 99%, and when they turn their back to fad. "Turning their backs" means that such rare people take the control of destiny, and of their vision in their own hands, refuse to be manipulated by desires of the mob, or presets of an instantaneous imaging device.