Originally posted by eddie1960 well no guarantee the V will be apsc or m4/3 but the lens patents do lend credence to it (I see no need for 2 more 28mm mountors on the GXR, though a sensor upgrade would always be good)
Well, Sony now being in the m4/3 sensor game does open things up a bit.
But I would wonder how many sensor sizes PRIC (love that acronym!) could feasibly support.
I would see these 4 sensor sizes as the winners in the camera business (not phone business) over the next 5 years:
- 1" for compacts. Smaller sensors will be dominated by phones
- APS-C for enthusiasts because it's a full two stops ahead of 1" and provides tangible improvements (m4/3 is a tweener between the 1" and APS-C and will eventually be absorbed at both ends). << Ducks>>
- FF. Only one stop ahead of APS-C, but the very-much-alive-mindset, legacy glass and ever-cheaper sensors will make it practical for a larger demographic.
- MF (true MF, not cropped 645D MF). For the same reasons (to a lesser degree) as FF above. I would be very surprised if Sony weren't working on MF sensors right now.
But sensors are just part of the story. Mounts are another. And companies are one more.
How many mounts and companies will weather the storms ahead?
If I have to put one in the gun sight right now, it's Nikon 1. Bye bye. Though Nikon will probably hang in there a while.
If the Q lenses can't accept a 1" sensor, bye too. Pentax won't hang in there long with the Q mount if this can't be profitable.
m4/3? Bye also. Being only 1 stop ahead of a shirt-pocket camera like the RX100 doesn't bode well. The enthusiasm of those invested in the system, plus Panasonic's deep pockets will keep this going for a while, but it's a dead end. Who, at let's face it, the lower-end of the market, buys into an expensive lens system for one stop? 1 month ago it was more viable, but the introduction of the RX100 has changed everything. And no surprise either. Me and many others have been saying for years that the camera market is being eaten at both ends.
The cheap is getting better, and the better is getting cheaper.