Originally posted by Mistral75
As far as I have read, not for Japanese companies. Take a look at
CIPA figures for the 1st quarter of 2013 compared to the 1st quarter of 2012 (these are the latest figures currently available) for total shipments worldwide:
- Digital Still Cameras Total: minus 43.4% in volume (number of units sold) and minus 33.4% in value (turnover generated)
- Cameras with Built-in Lens: minus 47.6% in volume and minus 44.8% in value
- Single Lens Reflex Cameras: minus 33.2% in volume and minus 19.1% in value
- Non-Reflex Cameras with Interchangeable Lens: minus 18.5% in volume and minus 17.9% in value
- Interchangeable Lenses: minus 12.1% in volume but plus 9.1% in value (the "Lenses for 35mm format Cameras" segment is growing, the "Lenses for smaller than 35mm format Cameras" is shrinking)
Not particularly the most cheerful of reports.
Sources: CIPA reports;
http://www.cipa.jp/english/data/pdf/d-201303_e.pdf for cameras and
http://www.cipa.jp/english/data/pdf/s-201303_e.pdf for lenses.
Quite right.
Single-purpose dedicated cameras are losing ground to smartphone cameras.
Mirrorless offers low value for IQ and AF, and many have starting price points that are ridiculous (the original Q, Nikon).
DSLR market is becoming saturated. Buy-ups to FF are buoying very modest profitability.
Single purpose cameras will survive but to do so must offer features that a smartphone cannot, such as WR, ruggedness, better optics, but must also borrow some features like a smartphone, such as built-in Wi-Fi. Generally many manufacturers are heading this way or are already there, but they are still pricing items like GPS and Wi-Fi as premiums rather than basics. That's not helping sales. All this category needs is to be positioned both technically and in the market as better than a smartphone camera by a leap with similar conveniences. The built-in capacity to communicate with iOS and Android devices would be a huge boon. Tablets are excellent quick editors.
Mirrorless is lost in the middle ground of not having pro-level IQ and AF, but having near sameness in cost. The premium for compact size is not as huge a draw as many expected. To make a break from the "good enough" smartphone, sensors have to be large enough (sorry Q) and the optics have to be great. A great # of buyers are not sold on EVF over $500.
DSLR's have life because the system is so established and versatile, possesses higher-end pedigree elements like an optical VF, very fast AF, and can accommodate larger sensors (FF and Leica S2, for example). They are "prosumer" all the way and the marketing as such has been extremely successful to the point of commoditization.
Not only are smartphones decimating dedicated camera sales, they are also destroying the dedicated videocam market. Originally it was thought that compacts and DSLR's with video would do that, but if all you need is a small sensor with all that DOF, a cameraphone is already there.