Originally posted by monochrome New technology always trumps embedded old technology eventually. It did when analog machines replaced labor in the early 20th C. It has when digital replaced analog technology. Often there is a rapid change when capital must be invested to replace amortized Plant and Equipment - there's less incentive to resist change then, less inertia.
By intuition, I believe in their own time Ricoh takes the mirrorless reins and leaves Pentax the mirrorboxes and optical viewfinders. Maybe they build out the GR line with interchangeble lenses, maybe FF GR, maybe something entirely new. Ricoh doesn't have much of a legacy to consider.
5 years is an eternity
The whole mirrorless/mirrorbox thang is skewed by the hegemony of Canon and Nikon, I would guess. They hold a lot of trump cards. Buying a standard DSLR from either of them is easy (they have the distribution), safe (tried and tested formula from a famous brand) and good value (MILCs have been costly by comparison, often very costly indeed). Imo, some of the makers of MILCs haven't made things easy for themselves by making their cameras far too complicated for most folks. "Retro" = a lot of dials and knobs = too much for a lot of folks who just want to take a picture but a better picture than a P&S will produce. At the higher end, MILCs don't or don't yet have the AF, the flash system or the lenses especially the long ones.
I guess we are all waiting for the tipping point so to speak: the point at which Canon and Nikon will have more $$$ to make by moving in than by staying out. When they make a serious move, things will rapidly change, I suppose. Some folks will always prefer an OVF which is fine, but I'd guess that so far the antipathy to MILCs in some quarters lies more in their cost and complexity than in anything else.
We know that Ricoh have been patenting designs for lenses for, perhaps, a GR-style mirrorless camera. They too are lining up the ammo. I can certainly see one opening against Fuji here: make it simple, post-retro and fair value, and, er, simple. Ricoh are also in a position to "de-mirror" the K-mount if they wish to, K-01 stylee roughly. I've no idea whether that would make sense but it's certainly an option. Fuji in contrast really have no choices at all, having already played their hand: it's the X system or bust.
Last edited by mecrox; 05-26-2014 at 04:26 PM.