Originally posted by H. Sapiens
APS C will not take them anywhere and definitely not with the commitment we have seen the past years. I am sorry, I don't see how Pentax can grow much there - maybe relatively because other brands will leave (and I don't even see that happening) but not in sold units. I am not shouting "doom and gloom" because what Pentax have now is likely enough to keep the numbers in black. Sony will give them a new sensor once a year and they can make a lens or two. Business as usual. New markets will arrive (India?) and people still buy DSLR's.
There will be new market segments opening up but It is no coincidence that GoPro was not invented by one of the traditional Japanese companies. Try to have a look at their managements - it is 60-somethings in identical suits and wearing identical glasses. GoPro was founded by a surfer. If think, if Ricoh is to find the golden pot it will be by integrating Pentax technology and know how with office equipment. Theta was not made for our sake.
Actually, Sony and I think Casio had action mini-cams before GoPro. They had the vision internally, but were afraid to push or price them right for fear of cannibalization. I guess they never got the memo from Steve Jobs.
Keep in mind the Japanese business model is one of slow, steady evolution. GoPro IMO is going to stumble. It is over-priced and finicky with add-ons. The bulk of the market is going to be determined on price at the till, not the IPO price. These will be a niche accompanying smartphones, and their market is even more limited.
The Ricoh version really only needs some better codec specs and GPS. Do that and knock $90 off the price in 12 months and these things will be all over the place. The super-rugged devices mature quickly meaning they are not going to be a high turnover item.