Originally posted by Winder I also know that these people are wrong just as often as they are right. Marketing and product development for high-tech products is basically roulette.
It is then likely that you or me have far less sucessfull track record. After all you speak of 50% success rate. That's pretty good. Maybe for you or me it is more like 10% ?
Originally posted by Winder Let's look at PALM or Research In Motion. They had big marketing departments with lots of research. Motorola, Nokia, Blackberry all had their day as the top cell phone manufacturer, and then one day Apple showed up and blew them away. Netscape? AOL? Kodak?
This is life. You grow when you have a better idea/model/system than others and get it right but the next one with the next big thing replace you. Even facebook start to have issue convincings the young to use their website. Pentax had Pentaprism and TTL exposure and that was their strength. Even before digital there were already not the #1 anymore.
Originally posted by Winder Sony introduced the NEX line as a upgrade for the consumer P&S. Cheap lenses and really bad menus, they never intended it to evolve into a semi-professional or professional system or they would have designed the mount a little larger to accept FF. They have admitted in interviews that they have been surprised by the demand for high end E-mount products. They have pulled resources away for A-mount development because of the unexpected success of the E & FE system. Sony has missed the boat repeatedly.
Sorry but E and FE mount are like FX/DX. This is the same mount. The FE lenses are made for FF image circle and A7 familly and E lenses are made for APSC image circle. but you can put natively FE lenses on E mount and E lenses on FE mount natively.
E mount was designed with FF in mind at least the image circle. I do think the registration distance was a bit too short for an FF mirroless but once they add an FF compatible FF mount in the wild they saw more value in extending it to have a greater echosystem than design something new.
Originally posted by Winder Do I think Ricoh has a good grasp of the camera market? No. Like Sony they seem to be learning by trial and error. and if Ricoh really does think the Q is THE growth engine of the future, then I think even less of their management.
Be real, the guy said that to give trust in the Q mount system. No more, no less. Don't try to extrapolate what people think and how their will manager their entreprise based on one old interview.
As for your phone example. Until now all the advenced camera phone were a very low success. The issue with them is that there no real place to have even average zoom optics and that it make the phone form factor different and people don't buy it anymore.