Originally posted by monochrome For the record, no one posting on this thread actually knows anything. If anyone posting on this thread actually knows anything and Ricoh decodes the UserName that person won't actually know anything ever again.
The only person on this entire Forum who actually seems to know anything (by the indicated accuracy of events that have followed predictions in his posts) has recently posted that he doesn't know anything (new).
Yup, they probably have pictures of... well you now...
Consider this: If Ricoh really intends Pentax to be the 3rd major camera brand they'll need to develop a FF system camera, not just a standalone body with a 36x24 sensor inside. That means flashes, optics, accessories, AF improvements (both speed and the distribution of focus points across the (larger) focusing screen) and a host of native flourishes such as Wi-Fi and tethering
Absolutely!!!
And do the same thing simultaneously for 645 - where they actually have a market advantage.
YES!!!
I know nothing about the camera
business and less than nothing about Ricoh's plans - but I'm not holding my breath for February.
...
You are not alone here...
As usual, I concur with Monochrome most on the above (particularly that Nobody has a releasable answer/ knows anything).... I have a few insights/ opinions for consideration (to show all what I DON'T know...
)...
I suspect that a next gen APSc DSLR will either preempt the FF DSLR or have a simultaneous release. I say this with the recent subtle (yet 180 degree reversals) repositioning that Nikon and Canon are using through pundits and "sponsored" photographers. Since K-3 came out they have shifted from FF is only "pro" platform to "new gen APSc cameras are better for wildlife and similar applications". Both overhauled the K-3 competitive units. Most "sponsored" mentors are using (and talking about it) a high end APSc along with a smaller FF in the field. The FFs are increasingly talked about for landscape, architecture, and weddings, the way MF was in that space for years vs. FF 35mm film. Subtle but major repositioning industry wide....
Second, it is clear to me from translating the interview myself (not a precise method, idioms and euphamisms are the diamonds to be mined) that Pentax feels that pixel-pitch, crosstalk, and noise improvements from sensor design will eclipse FF capabilities of current sensor platforms. So I believe the 2nd gen K-3* (*whatever nomenclature) is coming faster than FF from a developmental perspective. More importantly, the 24mp APSc pixel density is sufficient to see where smaller/denser sensors can advance (my interpretation of 2 sentences). My time in Japan colors my view of the interview that they "shouted" APSc is a superior platform if the 3 opportunities for improvement get better (as noted above). I still sense that they may approach FF in a first gen in MILC, but OVF is their preferred approach. For those of you that have seen my "far from mainstream" posts on FF, CaNikon spin, SONY failings, and debunking FF (flat-earthers and "pro" wannabes" begging for FF), I believe sensor improvements from advanced material applications and pitch management will happen before a viable 50mp FF eclipses 24-30MP APSc. Complete heresy, I know...
Third, I 100% concur that RP will NOT release a FF DSLR until it is "best-in-class" on pricepoint vs functionality AND all "platform optics are ready" (meaning 12-24 F2.8, 24-70 F2.8, 70-210 F2.8, 300 F2.8, 400 F5.6 or better, and a view of a 250-600 F4 or F5.6ish lens). Primes and a longer macro will be needed as well (some are already there). IMO, Flash is not a huge issue (since geometries for FF and APSc flash delivery are similar), and other accessories can be leveraged with K-3 (some more are still needed). Still ,they need the "whole" kit defined and deliverable to be credible.
On AF improvements, I believe the best solution is "dumbing" the K-3 type sensor to Canon level speed (less precise) is important, and should be user configurable. My wife and I just came back from an 11 day shoot in South America. I learned a ton more "chasing" monkeys with AF... Makes butterflies and birds look easy...