Originally posted by Pål Jensen There's nothing suggesting that the user base won't spend $3000. Their user base is currently APS users and in order for the vast majority of them to spend money on an FF body it needs to deliver something more than the K-3.
Yes, but the K-3 II is "already" $940 on B&H. Are we expecting three times the camera, or just twice the camera? ($2K vs $3K)
I've studied the price differentials between all of the comparable full-frame and crop-sensor siblings from Canon and Nikon. The D300 and D700 are two of the best examples of nailing the market perfectly, with almost identical bodies, and the price difference? About $1K. The same thing is happening now with the 24 MP DX and FX Nikon sensors. The D7200 is about $1200, (and dropping) ...and the D610 / D750 is about $2200. (and definitely dropping!)
If Pentax can manage to take the Sony 42 MP sensor and beat the Canon 5DsR for dynamic range and high ISO performance, and surpass its resolving power when using a pixel-shift technique, then yes I could see a camera costing just under $3K. But even the 5Ds R is under $4K, and the Nikon D810 is approaching $2K now on the Grey Market. Hence, my bet is ~$1900-$2400 for the FF Pentax.