Originally posted by zapp Quote the complete post and redo your maths:
We have 4 new D-FA lenses plus the D-FA 70-200. 2 Tamron designs, 2 are from Pentax. 50% is still not a majoritay, admitted, but pretty sad for a camera and lens manufacturer and as close as possible to the word majority. I think my exaggeration outweighs your maths.
You do realize that quoting the statistical probabilities of a lens, based on the lenses released makes not a single bit of difference to whether or not the next lens is outsourced. Just like flipping a coin.
But look at the circumstances around the two rebadged Tamrons.
Somehow the engineers did an end run around marketing who it was always said hold the final decision about if there was going to be an FF. BY all accounts the engineers pushed really hard for it, that left the company in a position where they didn't have even the basic lenses to release with the camera they were making. In that circumstance not trying to do it all in house made sense.
There is absolutely no evidence at all that the company is in a hurry to do the rest of it. The Sigma 18-300 was released for Pentax, there is no "have to have" lens out there that needs to be rushed to market. Pentax can let their own guys do the work. If one looks back, the Pentax 18-270 was also a Tamron design. My FA 28 200 is a Tamron design. Look at the number of licensed designs over the years, to have 2 in a one year span is the sign of extraordinary circumstances. It needs to go on for a while to be a trend and there is no evidence at all that that is going to happen, anymore than it did in the past. Indeed, if Pentax were going to license Tamron products, where are they? What would they be waiting for? With the downturn in DSLR sales it's almost certain manufacturers have extra production capacity. In a sense, with the 15-30 and 24-70 Pentax is leasing Tamron facilities to meet the demand of lenses for the K-1. But it was an extraordinary circumstance that made that necessary.
I expect Pentax to go back to licensing a Tamron design every couple of years for lenses they have no desire to design themselves, because most Tamron license designs have not been premium products. Already designed and in production "good enough for super zoom guys" is different from "top of the line pro". The 50 and 85 are going to be top of the line pro lenses.
The idea of either being a Tamron design ignores history, and current circumstances.
With the core of lenses needed by working pros covered, Pentax is back into "we'll get to it when we get to it " mode. The pressure is off.