Originally posted by pres589 This seems like a probable correlation vs causation issue. The change here isn't so much SLR vs. mirrorless, to me, as older tech vs. newer tech AND (perhaps more importantly) a mount change. But there's also changing consumer tastes coupled with extremely prevalent smartphones. It's like if everyone had a 110 format camera in their pocket all the time and Pentax did their m42 to k-mount transition all over again. Obviously 110 isn't so great as a real 35mm SLR but if nearly 100% of your market was "already carrying a camera in their pocket"... see what I'm saying?
I'm not good enough at reading tea leaves to tell where this goes and what the camera market as a whole looks like a decade or so from now. I wouldn't base it solely on how 2019 sent for CaNiSo financially.
Another thing is that for the vast majority of users who want to make photos worth looking at (so not the DPR average commenter for sure
), there is barely any improvement to be had when upgrading from a 2012 Nikon 5X00 to a 2020 whatever mirrorless thing. Nil, zilch, nada. Basically the same pictures. Something about ISO 6400 being marginally better. Contrast and compare the 2008-2012 (give or take) years, when usable ISO and MP both went up dramatically, with models leapfrogging each other in succession. There was some reason to upgrading every couple years... but that was bound to stop. And it did. How camera companies didn't realize that the "upgrade bodies once a year" rhythm wasn't sustainable, I don't know.
Banking on entry-level, bridge cameras and compacts for mass revenue also turned out to be a terrible idea. SLRs weren't the most common film cameras back in the 90s, small 135-film point and shoots were. Those got replaced by small digital compacts, but image quality of the early ones was
bad, so as soon as DSLRs were affordable, people jumped on the cheapo Canikons because... it was the cheapest way to make decent pictures, not because of any interest in having
a camera. Cue the smartphone with better IQ than old compacts, and now we're back to the olden days of ILCs being for enthusiasts/wealthy amateurs/people making money out of photography. The problem this time is that the industry bloated itself into a huge size when things were good, and we all know that the mention of the word "downsizing" will cause shareholders a collective aneurysm.
Pentax, however, has been living in a smaller scale for a while. They are probably better prepared for such a situation.