Originally posted by Peter Zack Which is exactly why I think going full frame is a HUGE MISTAKE and hope Pentax does not go this route. It will bankrupt the company unless Ricoh is prepared for a long term front end investment that will have no returns for 5 years.
Pentax has a 5% market share and the only people who will buy FF are current Pentax owners. You will get no business from Canon or Nikon shooters who already have a FF camera. Plus going FF is not one body. Does Pentax make a Landscape shooters camera at 24-36MP Hi-res sensor or a wedding shooters camera at 16-20MP high ISO sensor? Or both? How long would it take to create and build 12-16 lenses for this and a new flash system (the current flashes are not nearly good enough for a pro grade system).
All this would require a huge investment for what? 2% of the market if they are lucky? Don't do it Pentax. You build great APS-c cameras, keep doing that.
Actually, the mistake has been (and so far continues to be) NOT "going full frame." Who do you think will buy Pentax APS-C cameras? Do you honestly believe that Pentax is going to
increase its paltry market share (which is nowhere near the 5% figure you mentioned, in dSLRs certainly - more like 1.5% last I heard) with more "preaching to the (ever shrinking) choir APS-C offerings? Every "they can't compete in that (i.e., FF) market" comment applies every bit as much to the APS-C dSLR market, in fact even more so, since there is
more competition in that market, and since the margins are lower. If you honestly believe Pentax is incapable of competing, then they should just fold up their tents, because the Ricoh dreams of growth are nothing more than dreams if their Pentax line up doesn't include FF dSLRs. There's also nothing preventing Pentax from making
both FF
and APS-C dSLRs, which I'm sure they would continue to do. This irrational view of Pentax FF = the end of Pentax APS-C is incorrect. However, like the idea or not, refusal to make a FF dSLR
will mean that the K-mount will continue to whither away and die, and THAT
will mean no more Pentax APS-C dSLRs.
Will it take the end of
any third party lens support (i.e., for Sigma to pull the plug
completely, as opposed to keeping a few K-mount lenses in their line up in limited numbers, including pretty much none of their high-end lenses) for the "APS-C only is the way to go" crowd to open their eyes to the fact that there's not going to
be a K-mount if Pentax doesn't offer a FF dSLR soon?