Originally posted by jsherman999 The same planet on which the D800 shot up to near the top of the sales charts, despite this $3000 price tag.
Your original point was that Pentax should not leak plans of an FF body, because it will negatively affect sales of the K-5. I countered that it may also keep people from jumping ship to CaNikon for FF. Also, the folks who have no intention of upgrading to FF because of price are not going to quit buying the K-5 anyway, because they're not in the market for FF.
In other words, Pentax doesn't do much harm to itself in the form of lost K-5 sales by announcing FF plans, and could possibly actually see a bump in lens sales from an FF announcement - but could lose potential FF upgraders to CaNikon if they are too silent about it for to long. Upgrade money they probably won't be able to win back
You are making the erroneous assumption that a new Porsche Carrera harms Toyota Camry sales, to use a analogy.
The D800 had huge pent-up demand. That always happens and is normal, but still doesn't mean that more people are buying $3,000 bodies that normally wold over the long term. Lower-end bodies will still substantially outsell extremely expensive bodies. FF as a fraction of total market share for ILC, larger sensor cameras is still well under 5% of aggregate demand, D800 notwithstanding. Markets get irrationally excited about objects few can afford.
Pentax doesn't seem to lose too many saes via people jumping ship because of the very high FF price tags being a substantial barrier. Pentax net sales continue to grow regardless. Pentax is not necessarily "losing" customers and FF seems to have a negligible effect on overall DSLR market share.
A Pentax FF announcement though, without a price tag, will stall all sales above $1,000 per body, and would kill lens sales because no one is exactly sure what lenses will work on the "new" FF system. Fuji had the exact same problem with stalled X100 sales because they did not announce an X-Pro 1 price, and then they had to rush to announce the price so as to differentiate the market. Pentaxians would start ranting about a cheap FF model and K-5n sales would tank.
I see a concept FF likely at PK (which I stated in 2011), but with very long-term horizon for launch. As with the 645D. Pentax can do nothing now to stall D800 switchers. That horse left the gate last summer.
The real issue is not a body; it's lenses.
Also, I cannot see Ricoh running both the GXR and Pentax systems simultaneously. There are only so many internal resources.
Originally posted by falconeye Mine is called Planet Earth.
Since your's obviously is a different one, how is it called?
It's called planet market reality.