Originally posted by ChristianRock I can't believe you guys are taking this blogger's article seriously. I mean, just look how he put his Canon hopes on the EOS-M system, which was a flop worse than the K-01, and the whole thing is cancelled outside of Asia.
Mirrorless is making inroads, but slowly, and I see it more like electric or hybrid cars, which increase in sales a little bit year after year, but are far away from dominating the market.
In other words, it would be great if Pentax had a mirrorless system in the future, but having a FF DSLR is far more urgent, and I'm very confident that we'll see it soon.
Nothing has happened in the 9 months since that article was published to indicate the article is inaccurate in any way. Just the opposite. DSLRs have trended down by about 20% in units and Mirrorless have trended up by about 13% in units. Things are a little fuzzier when comparing revenue, admittedly. In Japan, mirrorless in units are 60% of DSLR units in sales.
Canon positioned the Eos-M camera so that it wouldn't sell successfully against its DSLRs, and surprise - it didn't :-) But a better equipped M-mount might have done very well in my thinking. In any case, thats a small part of the article. What the author said about noise and mirror shock to the image are all true, and nobody argues those points. Not to mention the cost and pita factors on calibrating phase focusing hardware.
I don't recall anyone on this forum predicting the current collapse of the PS compact sales, but yet it happened anyway. So i'm not surprised when lots of folks dispute the anticipated changes in the DSLR status quo. Its funny how changes are easier to predict when looking back on historical events, but not so easy looking forward