Originally posted by VoiceOfReason See the poll I created to check out what most Pentax users say about price though.
Chuckle! It is hardly representative. Only a tiny fraction of all the Pentax users in the world even know about the poll. Only 78 people have responded.
Imagine that Ricoh know about this poll. What would their reaction be?
First: they have probably fixed most of the hardware details of the FF camera by now, so whether it is D810-like or D610-like (or whatever) has already been committed. Debates here and elsewhere are about "prediction", not "influence".
They probably haven't decided the exact price, but they have probably decided whether to go for "value for money but still giving a useful profit" or "minimise or eliminate the profit in order to maximise sales". The Pentax division probably needs to take the former approach, to convince Ricoh to continue with the Pentax line.
They will probably assume that people responding to the poll, (even in the absence of knowledge of what class of camera it is), fall mainly into either of these two categories:
1. People telling the truth about their upper limit. In which case, Ricoh will probably think: "if that is their upper limit, we are not going to make much profit from them over the next year or two. If they won't spend more than that on an FF camera, they probably won't spend it on high-spec profitable lenses either. These people are not in our target market for FF in the next year or two".
2. People lying about their upper limit. In which case, Ricoh will probably think: "they are just trying to blackmail us into setting a lower price, but if we set a higher price they will pay it anyway. So we can ignore their stated limits".
Ricoh know that there are people who will pay prices comparable with the competition (or nearly so), and so may say: "we'll set a high-but-value price initially to make the FF line profitable for the first year, then once that source of profit has gone, we'll change the product mix or prices to start to get profit out of the next tier of people".
People who are not willing to spend a reasonable amount of money on a Pentax FF camera are unlikely to spend it on a Nikon or Canon FF camera (plus a range of lenses) either. So Ricoh may judge that the risk of defections in this group is small.