Originally posted by monochrome $2,700, and it will stay there a lot longer than people expect. Early adopters will win this time.
I'd guess $2700-$3000, but I'd agree that the FF would have a longer cycle time than APS-C. $600 bodies are pretty much disposable, but $6000 bodies certainly are not.
I think the KS-1,2,x,x,x cameras will be really short cycle as they feel out features and technology combos (and ..ahem... colors). They've corrected themselves in a couple of interviews when they started to say 'experimental' and I think what they meant was feature experimentation to attract users, not testing the underlying technology/implementation.
The K-3 / flagship APS-C bodies would then have a longer lifecycle (about 16 months? I'm not sure how to account for the 'ii' and 's' type models), and MF would be somewhere in the 6 year zone.
So maybe FF bodies would be 3 years? 2.5? Or align with the same 2 year major camera show cycles?
I have no idea where the Q mount bodies sit in this... like APS-C I guess.
If this were all overlaid on a calendar I bet there could be some obvious patterning that would prevent release collisions from happening that often.