Give it a try...? Why bother?

flaviopetrone · 11-13-2014, 04:50 AM

Originally posted by LensBeginner

There's a great alternative to spamming pictures: spamming pictures in threads that are actually made for that (i.e. "Alphabet race" and "I Spy").
Those always progress at a speedy clip, and the faster the merrier.
You get less visibility, but at least you are not interfering with the forum's normal activity.

I don't think that 2 or 3 pictures daily are spam... Am I wrong?

LensBeginner · 11-13-2014, 05:22 AM

Originally posted by flaviopetrone

I don't think that 2 or 3 pictures daily are spam... Am I wrong?

Of course not!

But that was just in case you (or anyone else for that matter) wanted to post more but not be considered a spammer.

flaviopetrone · 11-13-2014, 06:50 AM

Originally posted by LensBeginner

Of course not!

But that was just in case you (or anyone else for that matter) wanted to post more but not be considered a spammer.

Ok, I understand now.

LensBeginner · 11-15-2014, 06:40 AM

Originally posted by gor80

one competitor already surrendered ..
but in fact, that I too had almost no idea of good photos, you ought not simply to write posts and to write good posts that would be people like it hard!

Hey I only meant off for the day ( = bedtime!)

I'm still here trying to make the top 10 each day, just to take home points one by one...

Anthen · 11-15-2014, 07:02 AM

I'm curious, someone should tally the total amount of posts made this month.

LensBeginner · 11-15-2014, 07:06 AM

Originally posted by Anthen

I'm curious, someone should tally the total amount of posts made this month.

Oh I believe they are doing that... they need to show the figures to the sponsors!

gor80 · 11-15-2014, 11:01 AM

Originally posted by LensBeginner

Hey I only meant off for the day ( = bedtime!)

I'm still here trying to make the top 10 each day, just to take home points one by one...

phoenixvision37 * ** - crazy man )))

LensBeginner · 11-15-2014, 03:13 PM

Originally posted by gor80

phoenixvision37 * ** - crazy man )))

true! He's probably the one who took the challenge more seriously....

flaviopetrone · 11-15-2014, 04:03 PM

Originally posted by LensBeginner

true! He's probably the one who took the challenge more seriously....

He took it like a mission.

Phoenixvision, I'm just joking...

kadajawi · 11-15-2014, 07:45 PM

Originally posted by LensBeginner

true! He's probably the one who took the challenge more seriously....

You're way up there too

**Mikesul** · 11-15-2014, 08:39 PM - **1 Like**

Weird but interesting thread. Good luck to all.

LensBeginner · 11-16-2014, 06:35 AM

Originally posted by kadajawi

You're way up there too

I started to go the "minimum effort" way...
I'm doing what I need to do in order to go to bed every evening with a reasonable hope of finishing in the top 10...
Earlier this month I had some hopes of winning at least one day, but even when I got close, I was always trashed in the end by a huge margin...

So I'll do the one-point-per-day gig and only the days I'm not too busy with work.

flaviopetrone · 11-16-2014, 06:48 AM

Originally posted by LensBeginner

I started to go the "minimum effort" way...
I'm doing what I need to do in order to go to bed every evening with a reasonable hope of finishing in the top 10...
Earlier this month I had some hopes of winning at least one day, but even when I got close, I was always trashed in the end by a huge margin...

So I'll do the one-point-per-day gig and only the days I'm not too busy with work.

I think that a lot of us is playing this way. I would like to win a daily prize, but no chances as I can see.

LensBeginner · 11-22-2014, 02:15 AM - **1 Like**

Ok, today I did some fancy math, based on the current standings.
My chances of winning, at the present moment should be around 14-15%
Probability to win at first extraction is 23 / 324 = 7.10%
If the first extraction is won by a person with 1 ticket (worst case scenario) then second extraction is 23 / 323 = 7.12%, total is 14.22%
Otherwise, if the current leader wins the first extraction the chances for the second are 23 / 283 = 8.13%, total is 15.23%

A person with a single ticket will have a 0.62% to 0.66% chance.
The current leader (@phoenixvision) will have a 25.35% to 26.32% chance and there will be a little less difference between the first and second extraction because the maximum number of tickets that will be removed will be 24 (current 2nd place), not 41 (his).

All this based on today's data and provided that the lottery works as I suppose.
And, obviously, all for fun

phoenixvision · 11-22-2014, 02:34 AM - **1 Like**

Originally posted by LensBeginner

Ok, today I did some fancy math, based on the current standings.
My chances of winning, at the present moment should be around 14-15%
Probability to win at first extraction is 23 / 324 = 7.10%
If the first extraction is won by a person with 1 ticket (worst case scenario) then second extraction is 23 / 323 = 7.12%, total is 14.22%
Otherwise, if the current leader wins the first extraction the chances for the second are 23 / 283 = 8.13%, total is 15.23%

A person with a single ticket will have a 0.62% to 0.66% chance.
The current leader (@phoenixvision) will have a 25.35% to 26.32% chance and there will be a little less difference between the first and second extraction because the maximum number of tickets that will be removed will be 24 (current 2nd place), not 41 (his).

All this based on today's data and provided that the lottery works as I suppose.
And, obviously, all for fun

And you are math wizard on top of you endless knowledge in the photographic realm....the insect and mushroom world and historic artifacts!!!

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11-13-2014, 04:50 AM	#91
flaviopetrone Veteran Member Join Date: Aug 2014 Location: Reggio Emilia Photos: Albums Posts: 1,153	Originally posted by LensBeginner There's a great alternative to spamming pictures: spamming pictures in threads that are actually made for that (i.e. "Alphabet race" and "I Spy"). Those always progress at a speedy clip, and the faster the merrier. You get less visibility, but at least you are not interfering with the forum's normal activity. I don't think that 2 or 3 pictures daily are spam... Am I wrong?

11-13-2014, 05:22 AM	#92
LensBeginner Veteran Member Join Date: Sep 2014 Photos: Albums Posts: 4,696	Originally posted by flaviopetrone I don't think that 2 or 3 pictures daily are spam... Am I wrong? Of course not! But that was just in case you (or anyone else for that matter) wanted to post more but not be considered a spammer.

11-13-2014, 06:50 AM	#93
flaviopetrone Veteran Member Join Date: Aug 2014 Location: Reggio Emilia Photos: Albums Posts: 1,153	Originally posted by LensBeginner Of course not! But that was just in case you (or anyone else for that matter) wanted to post more but not be considered a spammer. Ok, I understand now.

11-15-2014, 06:40 AM	#94
LensBeginner Veteran Member Join Date: Sep 2014 Photos: Albums Posts: 4,696	Originally posted by gor80 one competitor already surrendered .. but in fact, that I too had almost no idea of good photos, you ought not simply to write posts and to write good posts that would be people like it hard! Hey I only meant off for the day ( = bedtime!) I'm still here trying to make the top 10 each day, just to take home points one by one...

11-15-2014, 07:02 AM	#95
Anthen Forum Member Join Date: Mar 2014 Posts: 79	I'm curious, someone should tally the total amount of posts made this month.

11-15-2014, 07:06 AM	#96
LensBeginner Veteran Member Join Date: Sep 2014 Photos: Albums Posts: 4,696	Originally posted by Anthen I'm curious, someone should tally the total amount of posts made this month. Oh I believe they are doing that... they need to show the figures to the sponsors!

11-15-2014, 11:01 AM	#97
gor80 Veteran Member Join Date: Jan 2012 Location: Балашиха Photos: Albums Posts: 595	Originally posted by LensBeginner Hey I only meant off for the day ( = bedtime!) I'm still here trying to make the top 10 each day, just to take home points one by one... phoenixvision37 * ** - crazy man )))

11-15-2014, 03:13 PM	#98
LensBeginner Veteran Member Join Date: Sep 2014 Photos: Albums Posts: 4,696	Originally posted by gor80 phoenixvision37 * ** - crazy man ))) true! He's probably the one who took the challenge more seriously....

11-15-2014, 04:03 PM	#99
flaviopetrone Veteran Member Join Date: Aug 2014 Location: Reggio Emilia Photos: Albums Posts: 1,153	Originally posted by LensBeginner true! He's probably the one who took the challenge more seriously.... He took it like a mission. Phoenixvision, I'm just joking...

11-15-2014, 07:45 PM	#100
kadajawi Veteran Member Join Date: Sep 2010 Posts: 2,799	Originally posted by LensBeginner true! He's probably the one who took the challenge more seriously.... You're way up there too

11-15-2014, 08:39 PM - 1 Like	#101
Mikesul Loyal Site Supporter Join Date: Sep 2009 Location: Phoenix, AZ Posts: 7,594	Weird but interesting thread. Good luck to all.

11-16-2014, 06:35 AM	#102
LensBeginner Veteran Member Join Date: Sep 2014 Photos: Albums Posts: 4,696	Originally posted by kadajawi You're way up there too I started to go the "minimum effort" way... I'm doing what I need to do in order to go to bed every evening with a reasonable hope of finishing in the top 10... Earlier this month I had some hopes of winning at least one day, but even when I got close, I was always trashed in the end by a huge margin... So I'll do the one-point-per-day gig and only the days I'm not too busy with work.

11-16-2014, 06:48 AM	#103
flaviopetrone Veteran Member Join Date: Aug 2014 Location: Reggio Emilia Photos: Albums Posts: 1,153	Originally posted by LensBeginner I started to go the "minimum effort" way... I'm doing what I need to do in order to go to bed every evening with a reasonable hope of finishing in the top 10... Earlier this month I had some hopes of winning at least one day, but even when I got close, I was always trashed in the end by a huge margin... So I'll do the one-point-per-day gig and only the days I'm not too busy with work. I think that a lot of us is playing this way. I would like to win a daily prize, but no chances as I can see.

11-22-2014, 02:15 AM - 1 Like	#104
LensBeginner Veteran Member Join Date: Sep 2014 Photos: Albums Posts: 4,696	Ok, today I did some fancy math, based on the current standings. My chances of winning, at the present moment should be around 14-15% Probability to win at first extraction is 23 / 324 = 7.10% If the first extraction is won by a person with 1 ticket (worst case scenario) then second extraction is 23 / 323 = 7.12%, total is 14.22% Otherwise, if the current leader wins the first extraction the chances for the second are 23 / 283 = 8.13%, total is 15.23% A person with a single ticket will have a 0.62% to 0.66% chance. The current leader (@phoenixvision) will have a 25.35% to 26.32% chance and there will be a little less difference between the first and second extraction because the maximum number of tickets that will be removed will be 24 (current 2nd place), not 41 (his). All this based on today's data and provided that the lottery works as I suppose. And, obviously, all for fun

11-22-2014, 02:34 AM - 1 Like	#105
phoenixvision Veteran Member Join Date: Jun 2013 Photos: Gallery Posts: 1,458	Originally posted by LensBeginner Ok, today I did some fancy math, based on the current standings. My chances of winning, at the present moment should be around 14-15% Probability to win at first extraction is 23 / 324 = 7.10% If the first extraction is won by a person with 1 ticket (worst case scenario) then second extraction is 23 / 323 = 7.12%, total is 14.22% Otherwise, if the current leader wins the first extraction the chances for the second are 23 / 283 = 8.13%, total is 15.23% A person with a single ticket will have a 0.62% to 0.66% chance. The current leader (@phoenixvision) will have a 25.35% to 26.32% chance and there will be a little less difference between the first and second extraction because the maximum number of tickets that will be removed will be 24 (current 2nd place), not 41 (his). All this based on today's data and provided that the lottery works as I suppose. And, obviously, all for fun And you are math wizard on top of you endless knowledge in the photographic realm....the insect and mushroom world and historic artifacts!!!