Originally posted by quant2325 Getting back to the OP:
1) Smartphones will continue to take over and eventually dominate the industry. Modular add-on lenses and even sensors will improve and become available.
2) APS-C sales will slowly decline, but the cameras will be better and better due to sensor improvements, which will improve in a way similar to Moore's Law.
3) For most serious amateur photographers an APS-C camera is all that is needed. At some point the MP in each sensor will be "good enough" and the prices will significantly drop.
I agree. But with every trend, the chicken littles come out.
However, I think what happened in the past 5 years is APS-C DSLRs became so affordable that anyone who was ever interested in taking serious photos could obtain one. The lower rung ... the entry level tier. That market is wholly saturated now. So that side will probably diminish some as the pull was unusual (a spike). But the desire for higher end models did not.. the desire is still there and (guessing) is increasing.
Just as recently it was the tablet trend.. and desktops were going the way of the dodo bird. The tablet market saturated and, while the market waned, the PC did not disappear. Many gamers and media makers are still desiring the qualities a desktop can provide. So much that sales of high end PCs actually INCREASED last quarter.
Point being.. ignore the static.. the chicken littles screaming over a trend.. the market ebbs and flows and continues on.