Originally posted by photoptimist This line of argument assumes that the only criticism of smartphones is IQ but that's not the problem with smartphones. Even if someone managed to shoehorn the latest and greatest FF sensor into an iPhone XXXXXL, it would still suck as a camera even if the IQ were leading edge.
No matter how good the IQ gets on a smartphone, it's still an awkwardly shaped rectangle with no viewfinder, an uncomfortable grip, no dedicated dials and buttons, and severely limited focal length options.
That is a matter of opinion, of course. It can be argued that all of these viewfinderless cameras have the same problem as smartphones.
With real zooms coming on line in smartphones now, the limited focal range argument is becoming less valid.
A smartphone with a 28-105 equivalent zoom lens would be about as usable as a K-01 with a 17-70 lens attached.
There are a lot of people who never really find the need to move beyond the camera and a kit zoom.
When I started in photography, the only lens I used for the first 10 years was the standard lens. It’s still my preferred focal length. I’m not saying this is for everyone, just giving an example of how keeping it simple works for some people. I bet I still do 75% of my shooting with the standard lens.
Quote:
Cellphones now are at the same place as the original box brownie film camera -- a box with one button. But unlike the brownie that evolved into the modern DSLR with more controls, top-surface display, control knobs, etc., smartphones are evolving in the opposite direction. If anything smartphones are getting worse for taking pictures.
Again, that is a matter of opinion (one that I happen to share, BTW).
Quote:
No matter how great the image looks, if the process of taking pictures is unpleasant, those who take lots of pictures will opt for dedicated standalone cameras.
Just so you know, you are preaching to the choir.
What concerns me is what is going to happen to the stand alone camera.
When film was in it’s heyday from the mid 1960s to the early 2000s, the manufacturers used cheap to build point and shoots to underwrite the cost of producing their higher end products.
This continued into digital, lower end cameras helped keep the cost of the high end ones reasonable. The fact that every man and his poodle wanted one didn’t hurt. Economy of scale is a beautiful thing.
Now we are seeing entire product categories being picked off. What used to underwrite the expensive stuff is no longer there.
The expensive stuff has also gotten good enough that the yearly upgrade no longer seems as necessary. I suspect that for the next several years, the high end market, especially the 35mm portion of it, is going to stagnate near present levels with flat to negative comps.
I believe that we are going to lose the economy of scale that has helped keep prices reasonable. We have already lost the crutch of the low priced high volume products that provided good cash flow.
I also foresee a severe bout of inflation rearing it’s ugly head, with North America and Europe bearing the brunt of the cost.
The brands I fear for most are Sony and Nikon, with Canon poised to commit another crime against it’s user base. These three are the ones with the biggest manufacturing base and supply chains, etc. They have the most to lose. Canon might find two full frame mounts to be unviable. Guess which one gets the axe. Sony is on record that they are throwing money at the wall to see what sticks. When cameras stop sticking enough, they are out. Nikon is somehow associated with Mitsubishi, or at least was up until recently, though I don’t know if that would help them or hinder them.
I think we can expect higher prices on cameras with less selection from the manufacturers.
Sorry for the rant.