Originally posted by jcamero I think Point and Shoot will eventually go away do to the fact this instant society wants to be able to upload to the "Social Network", and cell/smart phones have that ability. Our "instant" society doesn't want to tether a device, insert a card to a computer, etc. DSLR, on the otherhand, will be around a while. Just look at this forum. Look at the truely wonderful images posted daily. We DLSR users, spend great amount of time searching for the right shot, and spent numerous hours post processing, as well as BIG money on glass, tripods, etc. I have no reason whatsoever to buy a Smartphone, ( just like the idea of being creative with my lens/exposure, composition). Photograpy is an Artform that won't be lost, although it changes and evolves with technology. IMO
Maybe, but what's the real impact of adding in built-in wireless into P&S cameras? Or in pulling a Kindle with 'Whispernet,' which is limited usage of cell networks?
There are P&S cams coming out with built-in GPS, this is only a slight 'increase' on top of that.
As tech advances, there's a constant (if sometimes slow) shifting of what represents 'good enough' to a majority of users (consumers). It's likely that cell phone cameras have already cut into the p&s market, but the p&s tech isn't standing still, either, with some p&s (or bridge, or micro 4/3) chipping away at entry level DSLRs, and DSLRs cropped chipping away at full frames. At the point that today's cell phones are as 'good enough' compared to last years P&S, it may be a bigger dent to the p&s market, but I don't think we're there yet, except for the least discriminating shooters. With a cell phone, your real estate for possible optics is simply too limited, with the desire for smaller and smaller phones impacting it even further. Of course, at some point, assuming a 20x 'near lossless' digital zoom becomes available, the bar will shift a bit for 'at what point does someone want/need a better camera?' Add in improvements to noise reduction, allowing an effectively higher iso, and each generation starts to gain some abilities formerly reserved for their 'bigger brothers.'
I'd love to see some stats, but I'd wager that mobiles have already cut into p&s somewhat, micro 4/3rds have cut into cropped DSLRs, and cropped DSLRs have cut into FF - just as non of this has happened overnight (how many of you stayed with film until somewhat recently?), I don't think the cell phone cameras are going to take over the p&s market completely, nor will the micro 4/3rds (and similar, nex, etc.) destroy the dslr market, although I'm expecting micro 4/3rd/nex to take front stage within the next couple of years, as the 'good enough' for most people, and I'm not seeing how FF in the consumer space is likely to survive outside of pro only pricing due to dwindling market size..