The trade off between the D and Z comes down to a lot of what your end use is. From a pure landscape or studio work I don't think there is really that much upgrade. 10MP is pretty minimal. You are into the range where it is plenty of resolution. When you think about it yes it has more resolution but at what point is it moot. If you print a large picture then you have to stand a certain distance back to capture it all in; print it larger and you have to stand a bit further back... If desperate for more then you stitch and it nets you far more than the 10mp improvement.
One thing that makes me very interested in the new Z is I use mine for wildlife and would like to open up more potential for astrophotography. So the sensor type is what I see.
Even if I get the Z I wouldn't sell the D I have now. But if I was to sell the D I would think I could get 3k for it. The number that I would have to get to make it worth selling for me is 5k... So it will be interesting to see just how many people will want to offload theirs vs keep it as a spare and for those colours of the CCD sensor. I don't know if the market will be flooded with them which could keep price a bit higher.
Originally posted by Paul Ewins I don't think that there has been any actual announcement as to whether the 645D will be discontinued as soon as the 645Z ships, but there has been some speculation that Pentax might keep it on as an even lower priced entry to the 645 system. I guess that it will actually depend on whether there are enough of the CCD sensors still available or stockpiled for production to continue. The timing of the release of the 645Z has however been forced by fact that all of the other MF manufacturers will use the same CMOS chip. Pentax couldn't wait to run down existing stock of the 645D before announcing the 645Z, so there may be significant stock levels left of completed cameras or the CCD sensor that need to be sold.
The other manufactures will use it but they will still sell plenty of CCD backs at the same time. This new CMOS sensor won't come close to killing the CCD sensor for MF yet. In 3-5yrs is another story though... So good to jump on the road from the start then come in late. I applaud Pentax for that and that they keep price down. Now if they would just develop a proper AF system for it rather than grafting from the comparatively minute k mount dslr...