If you have an accurate voltmeter available, you could use the battery discharge graph in this post of mine:
Some Pentax D-LI90 Battery Charge/Discharge Measurements - PentaxForums.com and other relevant comments (particularly from C.A.M.; go look at his results, too) in that thread. If you don’t have a voltmeter (doesn’t everybody?! - I must have a dozen or so spread around the house!), go get one. You should be able to find something decent for $10-$20 at a local hardware store (cheaper than even most knock-off batteries).
Using the measured voltage, determine where on the discharge circuit your battery is. Then take the relevant time value from the graph and compare that to the end-of-useful-charge voltage (somewhere around 6.8 V) time (720 minutes). The ratio will tell you about what fraction of the battery charge you have used up.
For example, suppose you measure your battery at 7.1 V. The time value at that voltage is about 480 minutes.
The ratio 480/720 = 0.667 , indicating you have used about 2/3's of the batteries capacity.
If you normally get, say, 450 shots from a fully-charged battery, then you have about 150 shots left.
More simply, just measure the voltage, and if it is less than about 7 volts, it’s time to start thinking about charging it and/or changing to your back-up battery.