Originally posted by mattt
1) Do you think the Pro Formats will be relegated to closets and 2nd hand stores - precluding a drop in FF lens prices?
2) Will Lens Manufactureres - (particularly Pentax)- start filling in the "pro" holes from their current APS-C sized glass? ie a couple of new fast telephoto's for example?
3) With improved noise reduction at high ISO bigger apertures are not required - Constant F4 becomes the new Fast lens? (Bleh!)
4) If you think 3 is a possibility, what do the K-5 (flagship "Prosumer" level) equivalent camera's of 2020 specs look like?
1. The larger format market will contract, becoming even more specialist and true Pro pro. That will quell much of the upgrade-path-is-FF desire on escalating price as well.
2. The big mfgrs will react to, and continue to respond by filling market demand, because that's why they're big. Pentax, if not swallowed, will continue being Pentax (and contract more into servicing loyalists & minorities, releasing the occasion rehashed old design lens in "silver".)
3. More likely F2.8 (or faster?). The phenomenal demand for 70-200 F.L (expensive) fast hi-Q zooms, and the lust for even longer fast lenses by outdoorsy and sport freaks will not wane -- unless the bumhole falls out of world economies for a very extended period.
4. The future prosumer level camera will progress full-steam as it is now headed, ie. with stronger emphasis toward super quality video capabilities. Full blown Hybrid might be an apt description. Ca/Ni/So have that market in their sights and understand what's going on.
The traditional term "Still" image is destined to take a back seat to more "Motion" imagery.
DLSRs have that potential to produce mega-HQ vid, of short[ish] duration, matching the quality of their stills.
So budding con/pro-sumers will be able to affordably play in both worlds, using the one same tool, and produce superb results at both.
Remember you said Moore's Law, and you gave good indication that you realise the sheer "pace" that Gordon's analogy implies.
.R.
Last edited by Hypocorism; 03-22-2011 at 02:48 PM.