Originally posted by Rondec The thing is that if Canon/Nikon went mirrorless -- assuming they choose a different lens mount, they suddenly loose their biggest advantage -- a huge lens portfolio. Sure, they could do the adapter thing, but I just don't buy the idea that most consumers will go for a camera system where there are few native mount choices and most lens options require some type of adapter. It certainly would put them behind Sony and that's saying a lot.
I suppose they could just keep the same mount and lose the mirror -- some decrease in size with that, but the lenses are all the same.
I just don't see Canon and Nikon switching till they absolutely have to. They'll make all the excuses they can, but it really would put them back at square one, with little advantage over the smaller players.
^So true, I think a majority of people aren't willing to wait around 2+ years to rebuy certain lenses that they already have & use regularly, probably longer if the first version isn't up to par quality wise to what they need it for.
And for the adapter, same thing. I don't think most people are going to be willing to lose the AF capabilities of their lenses and work manually if they have to buy an adapter just to use their lenses they already own.
---------- Post added 11-27-14 at 03:00 PM ----------
Like I said though, as of now, DSLR's are going to be around for a while. Mirrorless Cameras is still in it's infancy, will have alot of growing pains the next few years (aka alot of issues in one area or another, (e.g. lenses, OVF)), but in about 3-5 years they will be solved and be at a point where they will rival DSLR's.