Originally posted by Rondec I really do think the MILC players are going to have an increasingly tough time going. They are coming up with improvements, but who really needs them? Who is really wanting 8K or 12K video? Who thinks that they need 80 megapixels because 40 just wasn't enough? For that matter, who needs more than 20 fps?
This nails it. The situation is that the constant flow of P&S customers has dried up (gone to phones) and the remaining buyers are more discerning. The latter generally realise that the tech has topped out - they know that raising resolutions above about 40Mp, or even 24Mp, is pointless - having reached the limits of the human eye with normal viewing media. Moreover, no-one really needs more than 6 fps for stills, or more than 4k or even 1080 for video.
But mirrorless comes as a God-send to the marketing people. It puts the tech onto a different track, so the salesmen have the scope to get people to throw away their DSLR kit and buy new mirrorless, at the same time getting the buyers onto a new technical escalator. Soon (we will be told) it will be impossible to take a good photo at less than 100 fps or if your camera body is more than 3mm deep. The sponsored YouTubers are at it already. Today's Sony A7R iv and Nikon Z6 will soon be as shameful to be seen with as a DSLR, we will be told - they look too much like a DSLR for a start.
Of course, the change from DSLR to mirrorless is not really very fundamental at all, they are just different ways of seeing the subject before the shot. The resulting shot will be the same. Both methods pre-view TTL, use basically the same lenses lenses, and identical sensors. The change is nothing like film to digital, or even rangefinder to SLR, but it gives the salesmen something to work on, and I do think they will have a tough time.