Originally posted by RobA_Oz The parallel question is: how quickly is the low end market drying up? In terms of unit sales, it’s been the largest component of the camera market, so I imagine it’s shrinking at a greater rate than the market as a whole.
This is exactly the point where I believe that an upgrade to the K-70 is unlikely.
Pentax however does painfully need to introduce something between the K-70 at ~$700 regular cost, and the K-3III at $2000, and IMO long before a K-1 mkIII. The K-70 can stay on the market so long as pentax is making enough of a profit to make it worthwhile until that segment of the market disappears entirely (its getting there). In the meantime, I suspect that we may see something along the lines of a KP mkII with the following changes:
Latest 24mp sensor
7 FPS, with a buffer increased to handle ~15-21 images (2-3 sec worth of burst...more than the KP up to a buffer similar to K-3 III. More than that would cannibalize K-3 III sales)
Eye Tracking
SAFOX 11+...same 27 selectable AF points as the KP, with an additional number of unselectable points bringing the total to around ~60. Think K-3III yet slimmed down.
Same standard pentaprism (not the one in the K-3III).
Built in Flash, GPS, etc. No Astrotracer 3 mode.
Some level of articulating screen.
$1199-$1399 ($1399 being more likely).
This will give 3 APSC models, rather equally spaced in pricing, with differentiating features that dont cannibalize the other models. This continues until the "intro" market as completely evaporated in which the K-70 will be canned. In 2023/24, I can see Pentax doing a K-1 III that takes refined elements of the K-3 III and putting them into play. The K-1 II would still be sold and this would leave Pentax with a 4 body lineup - 2 APSC and 2 FF.
Just my 2 cents...