Originally posted by Winder I can't help feeling that the current picture given out by many sites is a little overdone: a mighty Colossus shakes the land as the midgets Canon and Nikon flee before it, etc. Sony cameras still have plenty of weak areas which mean that they aren't the best tool in many situations, from flash and fast-action AF to battery drain, lossy RAW and having no native lens catalogue worth the name, at least for now. There's also a large question mark over the name Sony and their staying power in the eyes of many, for very good reasons. Then there is the small or in fact very large matter of prices. It's costs a great deal to go all the way with this stuff.
There's some amusement in seeing Canon and Nikon as underdogs for a change but both still have plenty of ammo if they want to assert themselves. No sign of that yet so we don't know the suits are up for it. But if either or both rolled in with a butt-kicking mirrorless high-ender using their current mounts or a new one, then the picture would change fairly quickly, I'd have thought.
I wouldn't be all that surprised if news started to appear that chipping lenses and cameras to stuff the use of unlicensed third-party products was under serious consideration by the camera companies, although that would only hasten their demise I reckon.
I wonder where this leaves the regular enthusiast or plain photographer who isn't a squillionaire and who has too many family commitments to justify splurging on the finest of the finest? While many folks would love to have an A7RII and oodles of Zeiss lenses, the reality is probably that they'll go for much more modestly priced Canonikon equipment, perhaps segundo mano or refurb, and put up with it being rather bulky and old-fashioned. In fact in most cases they probably don't even do that, going instead for a high-end APS-C model and a mixture of old and new lenses. Imho, 24 mpx on APS-C is a very, very good compromise. You get amazing quality compared to only a few years ago but at a very reasonable price starting with a Nikon D3300 on up.
I don't think FF will really have arrived in force until
good, reasonably well-featured FF - not bog standard basic models or creaking old models that weren't much cop to begin with - is down at the cost level higher-end APS-C is now. We'll be there when a D750, say, costs about one-third less, and that's a way off perhaps. Most folks simply do not have the money for anything more.